Saturday, October 07, 2006

Breakdown 10/8 Vs. Bills

Bears Running Offense Vs. Bills Running Defense

Bears: 11th in NFL 98.0 ypg
Bills: 17th in NFL 103.0 ypg

Last week the Bears finally had success running the ball with Thomas Jones running for 98 yards and Cedric Benson running for 37 yards. Last week the Bills held the Vikings for only 63 yards on the ground. With the Bills worried about the now prolific Bears passing attack, expect the Bears to get some good chunks of yardage on the ground.

Advantage: Bears

Bears Passing Offense Vs. Bills Passing Defense

Bears: 5th in NFL 259.8 ypg
Bills: 11th in NFL 193.8 ypg

For the second time in four weeks, Rex Grossman was named the FedEx Air player of the week. He threw for 232 with 2 TD and 0 INT. Bernard Berrian is the home run threat the Bears have lacked for decades and Moose is a very solid possession receiver. The Bills have been solid against the pass all year, but have not seen an explosive offense like the Bears yet.

Edge: Bears

Bills Rushing Offense Vs. Bears Rushing Defense

Bears: 7th in NFL 80.8 ypg
Biils: 9th in NFL 117.0 ypg

Willis McGahee leads the NFL with 389 yards of rushing, but only 1 TD. He is by far the best running back the Bears have seen all year. The Bears will need their front four to take away the cutback lanes to be successful against him.

Edge: Even

Bills Passsing Offense Vs. Bears Passing Defense

Bears: 7th in NFL 176.3 ypg
Bills: 25th in NFL 178.5 ypg

J.P. Losman is a "Game Manager." Dick Jauron does not want him to make mistakes and work within his limits. He is not going to win you games, but he probably doesn't lose a lot either. Last week the Bears bruised and confused Matt Hasselbeck with 5 sacks and 2 INT. They are a very opportunistic defense and their front four create a lot of pressure. The Bills must get solid protection or it will be a long afternoon for Losman.

Edge: Bears

Special Teams

The Bears kicking team leads the league with 50 points. Robbie Gould is a perfect 13 of 13 on field goals. The Bears coverage units swarm to the ball and allow very few yards returning. Devin Hester must take better care of the football or it could lead to momentum shifting turnovers.

Edge: Bears


Lovie Smith is the first Bears coach to lead his team to 4-0 start in 15 years. Dick Jauron is the coach that thought Leon Johnson would make a good kick returner.

Edge: Bears


While not the fans' most hated ex-coach, Dick Jauron should not expect a particularly warm homecoming Sunday. He will get booed and booed often. Remember it's not his team, but he's on the team.

Edge: Bears

1 comment:

Anonymous said...

Nice work on the game analysis/predictions. You should be a bookie.